Backtesting Strategy backtests

Does the opening range breakout work?

Last updated Oct 11, 2026

$10,814with the strategy

$14,640just holding

What $10,000 in SPY became with the opening range breakout, from Mar 26, 2024 to Sep 30, 2026, after trading costs.

$10,000 over time

With the strategyJust holding the stock

The opening range breakout marks the high and low of the first 30 minutes of the day. If a 5-minute candle closes above that high it buys, and if one closes below the low it sells short, which is a bet that the price will fall. The stop sits at the other side of the range. It takes one trade a day and closes out five minutes before the bell.

Day traders like it because the first half hour often sets the tone for the day. The trouble is that many breaks fail and fall back inside the range, and every trade pays commission and slippage.

It made money on three of the five stocks and lost on IWM and Apple, over hundreds of trades on each. Holding beat it on all five.

In the table, the biggest drop is the most the account fell from a high point before it recovered.

StockWith the strategyJust holdingTradesBiggest dropBacktest
SPY$10,814 (+8.1%)$14,640 (+46.4%)628-8.1%See the backtest
QQQ$11,981 (+19.8%)$16,578 (+65.8%)620-14.0%See the backtest
IWM$8,717 (-12.8%)$13,462 (+34.6%)622-18.9%See the backtest
AAPL$9,251 (-7.5%)$19,418 (+94.2%)562-26.1%See the backtest
MSFT$10,253 (+2.5%)$12,112 (+21.1%)566-19.2%See the backtest

Read the study behind this strategy

How we tested

We ran the textbook rules on 5-minute candles on SPY, QQQ, IWM, Apple and Microsoft from Mar 26, 2024 to the end of last month, in the same Backtest tab you can use. Every strategy on this site starts on the same day, the first day the slowest of them, the golden cross, could trade.

Every test starts with $10,000 and puts the whole balance into each trade, with no borrowed money. Costs are the tester's defaults for stocks: half a cent a share in commission and a cent of slippage on every fill. Slippage is the gap between the price you wanted and the price you got.

"Just holding" buys the same stock at the open on the first day of the test and keeps it to the end.

Questions

Does the opening range breakout beat buying and holding?

No. It didn't beat just holding on any of the five stocks after costs, even though it made money on three of them.

Is 30 minutes the right range?

It's the most common choice, not a magic number. A shorter range trades more often with a closer stop, and a longer one trades less. You can change it in the Backtest tab before you run it.

Can I test it on a different stock?

Yes. Press "Try it yourself" to open the Backtest tab with the opening range breakout already loaded, then change the stock. Without a paid plan you can reach less history than we used, so your numbers can differ.

Start freeNo card required. US stocks and ETFs.